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With Shell abandoning its exploration plans in the Chukchi Sea in September and Statoil following suit in November, many might believe that the North Slope Basin off the northern coast of Alaska has been condemned. Yet those who have put decades into studying the geology of Alaska’s North Slope and Outer Continental Shelf believe the opposite.

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The long-term projections have changed little in the year since this column last reported on the annual International Energy Agency (IEA) “World Energy Outlook,” but the tone is much different. Last year’s report was concerned about finding the investments to meet demand; now the world has surpluses of oil and gas and a booming renewables industry.  
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Natural gas hydrate (NGH), a crystalline compound of water and natural gas, has been recognized as a vast potential energy resource for over two decades, but its commerciality has persistently remained beyond the horizon due to technical and economic hurdles.

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While exploration has slowed in many parts of the world in response to the industry’s lagging downturn, India is moving full steam ahead to encourage exploration and production on a domestic and international scale.

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The search for unconventional hydrocarbons is not new. It’s true that almost 100 years separated the early exploration successes in the synclinal valleys of Central Pennsylvania, to the exploitation of Coal-Bed Methane in a number of basins in the U.S. and Canada in the 1980’s. Since the 1980's, however, a quiet revolution began which by today has seen several waves of unconventional resources being pursued with economic success. Coal-bed methane was followed by the search for Center-Basin Gas, Shale Gas and most recently, Liquid-rich Shales (some of which aren't shales).

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Cognitive bias, in its many manifestations, is the major cause of geotechnical overestimation and faulty probability forecasts in petroleum geoscience. The five most prevalent cognitive biases in petroleum E&P are: Confirmation Bias; Overconfidence; False Analogs; Anchoring; and Motivational Bias. They are caused by premature selection of theory, personal hubris, lack of perspective, lack of imagination, laziness, and excessive self-interest.

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The Arctic Ocean occupies a unique tectonic setting as a small, confined ocean between two much larger oceans - the subducting Pacific margin and the opening North Atlantic. Unlike many of the world's oceans, evidence on both timing and geometry is poor, and major elements of the plate tectonic evolution are still "up for grabs". The Arctic has experienced significant plate motion from Cretaceous to present, and because of the ambiguities in the oceanic signature, resolving the most likely kinematic history is critical in understanding paleogeography and hence reservoir and source distribution. I will show a 3-stage kinematic model which, while not a unique solution, seems to best satisfy the known constraints.

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In-Person Training
Buenos Aires Argentina 11 May, 2015 12 May, 2015 14137 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/extending-mature-fields-life-cycles-hero.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true Structure, Structural Analysis (Other), Geomechanics and Fracture Analysis, Compressional Systems, Fold and Thrust Belts, Extensional Systems, Sedimentology and Stratigraphy, Sequence Stratigraphy, Clastics, Conventional Sandstones, Eolian Sandstones, Lacustrine Deposits, Carbonates, (Carbonate) Shelf Sand Deposits, Petrophysics and Well Logs, Geophysics, Seismic, Magnetic, Gravity, Direct Hydrocarbon Indicators, Geochemistry and Basin Modeling, Basin Modeling, Maturation, Oil and Gas Analysis, Source Rock, Petroleum Systems, Environmental, Ground Water, Remote Sensing, Reservoir Characterization, Engineering, Seismic Attributes, Geochemical Fingerprinting, 3D Seismic, Production, Tertiary Recovery, Secondary Recovery, Primary Recovery, Drive Mechanisms, Development and Operations, Conventional Drilling, Coring, Business and Economics, Risk Analysis, Reserve Estimation, Resource Estimates, Economics, Deep Sea / Deepwater, Deepwater Turbidites, Marine, Shelf Sand Deposits, Slope, Carbonate Reefs, Carbonate Platforms, Hydraulic Fracturing
 
Buenos Aires, Argentina
11-12 May 2015

Join leading scientists and industry practitioners at Extending Mature Fields’ Life Cycles: the Role of New Technologies & Integrated Strategies, a Geoscience Technology Workshop (GTW) organized by the AAPG Latin America Region and the Asociación Argentina de Geólogos y Geofísicos Petroleros (AAGGP).

Calgary Alberta Canada 03 May, 2016 03 May, 2016 28639 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/DL-pete-rose-telus-calgary.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true Business and Economics, Economics, Resource Estimates, Risk Analysis, Geochemistry and Basin Modeling, Basin Modeling, Petroleum Systems, Carbonates, Sedimentology and Stratigraphy, Carbonate Platforms, Deep Basin Gas, Tight Gas Sands
 
Calgary, Alberta, Canada
3 May 2016

Lecture Title: Cognitive Bias, the "Elephant in the Living Room" of Science and Professionalism
Venue: Telus Convention Centre, Macleod Hall D (subject to change), Calgary, Canada
Time: 12Noon

Rio de Janeiro Brazil 18 May, 2016 19 May, 2016 24695 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/exploration-production-challenges-hero.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true Business and Economics, Economics, Reserve Estimation, Resource Estimates, Risk Analysis, Development and Operations, Engineering, Conventional Drilling, Geophysics, Seismic, Carbonates, Sedimentology and Stratigraphy, (Carbonate) Shelf Sand Deposits, Carbonate Platforms, Clastics, Conventional Sandstones, Deep Sea / Deepwater, Deepwater Turbidites, Marine, Reservoir Characterization, Structural Traps, Subsalt Traps, Stratigraphic Traps
 
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
18-19 May 2016

A Geosciences technology workshop hosted by the Associação Brasileira de Geólogos de Petróleo  (ABGP) and the American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)

Online Training
14 December, 2010 14 December, 2010 1467 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-es-sale-gas-in-quebecs-sedimentary-basins.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
 
14 December 2010

Recent interest in unconventional gas resources has attracted several oil and gas explorers to sedimentary basins in Southern Quebec.

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9 December 2010

The Mississippian-Devonian Bakken Petroleum System of the Williston Basin is characterized by low-porosity and permeability reservoirs, organic-rich source rocks, and regional hydrocarbon charge.

19 August, 2010 19 August, 2010 1462 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-es-challenging-the-paradigm-missing-section-normal-fault.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
 
19 August 2010

This presentation will show where there are cases of missing sections, but none of them can be attributed to normal faulting.

11 February, 2010 11 February, 2010 1441 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-es-predicting-gas-hydrates.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
 
11 February 2010

Gas hydrates, ice-like substances composed of water and gas molecules (methane, ethane, propane, etc.), occur in permafrost areas and in deep water marine environments.

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