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Cognitive bias, in its many manifestations, is the major cause of geotechnical overestimation and faulty probability forecasts in petroleum geoscience. The five most prevalent cognitive biases in petroleum E&P are: Confirmation Bias; Overconfidence; False Analogs; Anchoring; and Motivational Bias. They are caused by premature selection of theory, personal hubris, lack of perspective, lack of imagination, laziness, and excessive self-interest.

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The Arctic has experienced significant plate motion from Cretaceous to present, and because of the ambiguities in the oceanic signature, resolving the most likely kinematic history is critical in understanding paleogeography and hence reservoir and source distribution. I will show a 3-stage kinematic model which, while not a unique solution, seems to best satisfy the known constraints.
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On the heels of an April 23 article in The New York Times headlined, “A New ‘OPEC’ Emerges: The U.S.,” this year’s Unconventional Resources Technology Conference (URTeC) will take that topic into the field, tracking the country’s shale boom from its inception to turning the United States into the world’s No. 1 petroleum and natural gas producer in 2014 – overtaking Saudi Arabia and Russia.
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As part of Senator Lisa Murkowski’s (R-AK) efforts to craft comprehensive energy legislation, the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee recently held a hearing to discuss 26 bills that would expand energy supplies. 
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AAPG Congressional Visit Days (CVD) are held annually in the spring in Washington, D.C. – and I was fortunate to participate this past March, adding the perspective of a graduate student to the event.
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AAPG Honorary member Alfredo E. Guzmán, this year’s recipient of the Michel T. Halbouty Outstanding Leadership Award, had a small hand in the changes many are calling “Mexico’s Moment.”
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The mood is gloomy, but not for everyone, according to the 2015 Salary Survey.
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The current collapse of oil prices and the continuing downward pressure on natural gas prices have been a double whammy for the Canadian oil patch. At least while oil was attractive, players could be liquids-focused; but now, that once-safe haven has been eliminated. The repercussions of this downturn here are now rippling through industry, governments and society at large.

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We’ve chosen to work in a volatile business. We need to own that. And we need to prepare accordingly.

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In-Person Training
Buenos Aires Argentina 11 May, 2015 12 May, 2015 14137 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/extending-mature-fields-life-cycles-hero.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true Structure, Structural Analysis (Other), Geomechanics and Fracture Analysis, Compressional Systems, Fold and Thrust Belts, Extensional Systems, Sedimentology and Stratigraphy, Sequence Stratigraphy, Clastics, Conventional Sandstones, Eolian Sandstones, Lacustrine Deposits, Carbonates, (Carbonate) Shelf Sand Deposits, Petrophysics and Well Logs, Geophysics, Seismic, Magnetic, Gravity, Direct Hydrocarbon Indicators, Geochemistry and Basin Modeling, Basin Modeling, Maturation, Oil and Gas Analysis, Source Rock, Petroleum Systems, Environmental, Ground Water, Remote Sensing, Reservoir Characterization, Engineering, Seismic Attributes, Geochemical Fingerprinting, 3D Seismic, Production, Tertiary Recovery, Secondary Recovery, Primary Recovery, Drive Mechanisms, Development and Operations, Conventional Drilling, Coring, Business and Economics, Risk Analysis, Reserve Estimation, Resource Estimates, Economics, Deep Sea / Deepwater, Deepwater Turbidites, Marine, Shelf Sand Deposits, Slope, Carbonate Reefs, Carbonate Platforms, Hydraulic Fracturing
Buenos Aires, Argentina
11-12 May 2015

Join leading scientists and industry practitioners at Extending Mature Fields’ Life Cycles: the Role of New Technologies & Integrated Strategies, a Geoscience Technology Workshop (GTW) organized by the AAPG Latin America Region and the Asociación Argentina de Geólogos y Geofísicos Petroleros (AAGGP).

Denver Colorado United States 30 May, 2015 30 May, 2015 14549 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/ace2015-sc03-petroleum- economics-hero.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true ACE 2015, Business and Economics, Risk Analysis, Resource Estimates, Economics, Engineering, Development and Operations, Business, Risk/Reserve Analysis, Conventions, Short Courses, Pre-Convention, PROWESS
Denver, Colorado, United States
30 May 2015

This course provides an overview of the petroleum industry and upstream economics, beginning with the geoscientist’s role of evaluating uncertainty in E&P, estimating prospect resources, and estimating chances of success. The course then moves on to field development scenarios and cash flow models, developing various capital budgeting economic indices to evaluate and rank various prospective field projects, production and reservoir management for producing fields and international contract arrangements and emerging trends.


Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates 04 October, 2015 06 October, 2015 13097 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/third-eage-aapg-workshop-hero.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true Tight Gas Sands, Petrophysics and Well Logs, Geophysics, Engineering, Business and Economics, Economics, Resource Estimates, Development and Operations, Reservoir Characterization
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
4-6 October 2015

This workshop is the outgrowth of continued cooperation between AAPG & EAGE to develop a series of multi-disciplined gatherings dedicated to understanding, completing & producing tight sandstone & carbonate reservoirs.

Online Training
21 August, 2014 21 August, 2099 10831 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/esymp-mexicos-oil-and-gas-history-new-discoveries-opportunities-and-energy-reform-hero.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
21 August 2014 - 21 August 2099
The goal of this e-symposium is to review the status of the Mexican upstream sector, and to provide a review of the most prolific and prospective areas in Mexico, with a focus on opportunities for international participation, given the upcoming energy reform in Mexico. 
02 October, 2014 02 October, 2014 10593 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/esymp-concepts-of-scale-horizontal-development-of-wolfcamp-shale-oil-of-the-southern-midland-basin-hero.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
2 October 2014
This course is ideal for individuals involved in Midland Basin exploration and development. Successful development of Wolfcamp shale oil relies on complex inter-relationships (ultimately interdependencies) within and between a wide variety of scientific disciplines, financial entities, and company partnerships. 
01 January, 2014 01 January, 9999 3160 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-toc-strategic-decision-making.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
1 January 2014 - 1 January 9999

Learn to critically evaluate current issues that can impact growth and sustainability of oil and gas ventures.

16 February, 2012 16 February, 2012 1483 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-es-seismically-driven-characterization-of-unconventional-shale-plays.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
16 February 2012

This presentation describes a proven workflow that uses a standard narrow azimuth 3D seismic, conventional logs, image logs and core data to build five key reservoir properties required for an optimal development of shale plays.

28 July, 2011 28 July, 2011 1476 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-es-marcellus-shale-integrating-information-to-optimize.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
28 July 2011

This presentation discusses one operator’s approach to fully integrate data captured in the Marcellus Shale in order to optimize horizontal well performance.

14 December, 2010 14 December, 2010 1467 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-es-sale-gas-in-quebecs-sedimentary-basins.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
14 December 2010

Recent interest in unconventional gas resources has attracted several oil and gas explorers to sedimentary basins in Southern Quebec.

01 January, 2013 01 January, 9999 1450 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-cc-renewable-non-renewable-resources.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
1 January 2013 - 1 January 9999

Renewable & Non-Renewable Resources is an online course that enables participants to review, analyze, and evaluate opportunities in the rapidly expanding market for renewable energy.

01 January, 2013 01 January, 9999 1449 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-cc-biomass-energy-basics.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
1 January 2013 - 1 January 9999

Biomass Energy Basics is an online course that enables participants to review, analyze, and evaluate opportunities in the rapidly expanding market for biopower and biofuel.

01 January, 2013 01 January, 9999 1448 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-cc-solar-energy-basics.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
1 January 2013 - 1 January 9999

Solar Energy Basics is an online course that enables participants to review, analyze, and evaluate opportunities in the rapidly expanding market for solar energy.

01 January, 2013 01 January, 9999 1447 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-cc-wind-energy-basics.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
1 January 2013 - 1 January 9999

Wind Energy Basics is an online course that enables participants to review, analyze, and evaluate opportunities in the rapidly expanding market for wind energy.

01 January, 2013 01 January, 9999 433 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-cc-geothermal-energy-basics.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
1 January 2013 - 1 January 9999

Geothermal Energy Basics is an online course that enables participants to review, analyze, and evaluate opportunities in the rapidly expanding market for geothermal energy.

14 February, 3000 14 February, 3000 7817 Desktop /Portals/0/PackFlashItemImages/WebReady/oc-es-generic-hero.jpg?width=100&height=100&mode=crop&anchor=middlecenter&quality=75amp;encoder=freeimage&progressive=true
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