30 March, 2022 Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates

Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling

28-30 March 2022
  |  
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Sponsored By:

Today’s oil and gas industry is increasingly turning toward complex stratigraphic-diagenetic and structural plays. Prediction and risking of reservoir heterogeneity, seal integrity and source rock sweet spots are becoming more important than ever before. Currently, prediction and risking rely primarily on stochastic geostatistical approaches, which have seen an impressive development over the last few decades. However, exploration of and production from increasingly complex plays has revealed higher levels of uncertainty in geostatistical reservoir models, because of a combination of factors:

  • Statistical models do not fully capitalize on the geological information available
  • Prediction and risk assessment usually apply a single statistical approach
  • Different geostatistical approaches produce varying predictive models
  • Surface geological studies (analogues) have proven highly pronounced rock heterogeneity
  • Multiple, concurrent processes with various feedback mechanisms control reservoir quality

In order to meet current and future challenges of increasingly complex prospect and play types, the industry needs to develop new, additional approaches to reservoir, seal and source rock prediction. The key requirement for reducing uncertainty and risk in exploration and production is a rigorous understanding and quantification of geological processes and controls.

Fundamental research in geological process-based forward modeling started in the 1960s to 1970s in academia. However, the exploration industry has only recently started to more widely deploy geological process-based forward modeling. The initial focus has been on depositional modeling using diffusion, Navier-Stokes and hybrid geometric approaches, but more recently a diverse range of approaches is being adopted. They include fuzzy logic, cellular automata and various other reduced-complexity modeling approaches that produce output information on petrofacies, depositional environment, and textural porosity. Forward modelling is also being applied to diagenetic processes using reaction-transport modeling (RTM) or reduced complexity proxy rules and to geomechanical processes using finite element or discrete fracture network modeling based on post-burial mechanical stratigraphy and local/regional stress patterns. Geological process-based forward modeling has shown highly promising results for e.g., reservoir quality, seal integrity and sweet spot prediction in complex play and trap settings but many challenges persist, including:

  • Calibration of numerical input parameters specific to age, climate and structural settings
  • How to use physical experiments and outcrop-reservoir analogue studies for model verification
  • Automated input parameter optimization
  • Multi-scale process-based models from basin to prospect, play and inter-well scale
  • Linking and integrating approaches for depositional, diagenetic and structural modeling
  • Integrating textural, diagenetic and fault/fracture-related poroperm models
  • Sensitivity analysis and quantitative risk assessment of multiple modeling realizations
  • Computational expense vs. complexity of numerical approach vs. temporal-spatial resolution
  • Effective implementation in existing industry workflows.

In recent years, interest in geological process-based forward modeling has extended to the geothermal exploration industry and the CO2 storage industry, which face some comparable challenges in predicting subsurface rock parameters and their spatial distribution.

The proposed workshop will include invited experts and interested researchers from both industry and academia. We will concentrate on geological process-based forward modeling rather than on geostatistical modeling, flow simulation, or hydrocarbon systems modeling. Six sessions spread over a period of 2 1/2 days will be dedicated to key challenges in geological process-based forward modeling, finishing with a concluding session to define a practical way forward.

 

Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Call for Posters Ends on 28 February, 2022

You are invited to prepare a poster display for presentation. If you are interested in participating, please send a short abstract to by 28 February 2022. All posters will be produced as pull-up banners and delivered by AAPG. There will not be any other format available for poster display.

Download Poster Abstract Template

Expand Program [ + ] Collapse Program [ - ]

6:00 AM - 7:00 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 1

Monday 28 March

7:00 AM - 8:30 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 1 Registration

Workshop Registration

8:30 AM - 8:40 PM
Workshop Chair's Welcome and Introduction

8:40 AM - 8:50 AM
Inaugural Keynote

Ashraf Al-Tahini, Saudi Aramco

8:50 AM - 9:20 AM
Technical Keynote - The Evolution of Geologic Process Models

Dan Tetzlaff, Westchase Software Corp.

9:20 AM - 9:50 AM
Technical Keynote - Why Simulate Stratigraphy?

Scott Bowman, PetroDynamics

9:50 AM - 10:05 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Break 1

Coffee Break & Posters

9:55 AM - 10:55 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Session 1

Session 1: Current Applications, Lessons Learned and Challenges
Session Chairs: Rainer Zuhlke, Saudi Aramco & Cedric John, Imperial College London

10:05 AM - 10:35 AM
Session Keynote: 3D Stratigraphic and Diagenetic Forward Modelling: Examples from Jurassic Carbonates, Central Saudi Arabia

Didier Granjeon, IFPEN

10:35 AM - 11:00 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling: Towards the Possibility of Meeting the Standard Requirements of Reservoir Modeling

Gérard Massonnat, TotalEnergies

11:00 AM - 11:25 AM
GPBFM for the 21st Century, Climate Change, New Energy Applications, and Education

Cedric Griffiths, Stratamod

11:25 AM - 11:40 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Poster Presentation

Poster Presentation Summary Session

11:40 AM - 11:55 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Break 2

Coffee Break & Posters

11:55 AM - 12:55 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Breakout Session 1

Breakout Session

12:55 PM - 2:30 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Lunch

Lunch

1:00 PM - 2:00 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Session 2

Session 2: Multi-Scale Calibration of Geological Processes
Session Chairs: Nicolas Hawie, Independent Consultant & Scott Bowman, Petrodynamics

2:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Session Keynote: The Role of Hydrodynamics for Shaping Carbonate Depositional Systems and Sediment Distribution – Observations from Recent and Ancient, Shallow and Deep Basinal Settings

Volker Vahrenkamp, KAUST

3:00 PM - 3:25 PM
Calibration of Input Parameters for Geological Process-Based Modelling – Depositional Units, Sediment Input and Paleobathymetry

Nikolaos Michael, Saudi Aramco

3:25 PM - 3:40 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Break 3

Coffee Break & Posters

3:40 PM - 4:05 PM
Use of an Integrated Earth Model for the Rapid Determination of Boundary Conditions

Andrew Davies, Halliburton

4:05 PM - 4:30 PM
Trust, But Verify: Parameter Calibration and Validation of Deep-Water Sand Delivery Processes in a Numerical Model

Ashley Harris, Chevron

4:30 PM - 5:30 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 1 Breakout Session 2

Breakout Session

6:30 AM - 7:30 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2

Tuesday 29 March

7:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Session 3

Session 3: Modeling Approaches and Applications
Session Chairs: Cedric John, Imperial College London & Daniel Tetzlaff, Westchase Software Corporation

8:30 AM - 9:00 AM
Session Keynote
9:00 AM - 9:25 PM
Digital Geology Physics Based Simulation for the Next Generation G&G Integration

Sergio Courtade, Schlumberger

9:25 AM - 9:50 PM
Integration of Forward Stratigraphic Modeling in Reservoir Geomodels: Approach and Benefits

Samer Boudaher, Beicip Franlab

9:50 AM - 10:05 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Break 1

Coffee Break & Posters

10:05 AM - 10:30 AM
Optimization of Geological Process Based Forward Models

Andreas Miller, OMV Austria

10:30 AM - 10:55 AM
Regional Stratigraphic Forward Modeling Incorporating Variable Basement Composition

Peter Suess, University of Tuebingen and Wintershall

10:55 AM - 12:00 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Breakout Session 1

Breakout Session

12:00 PM - 1:30 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Lunch

Lunch

12:05 PM - 1:05 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Session 4

Session 4: Integration of Multiple Geological Processes and Approaches
Session Chairs: Rainer Zuhlke, Saudi Aramco & Daniel Tetzlaff, Westchase Software Corporation

1:30 PM - 2:00 PM
Session Keynote: Integration of Deep Learning into Forward Geological Modeling: A Glimpse Over the Horizon

Cedric John, Imperial College London

2:00 PM - 2:25 PM
Integration of Geomechanics with Geological Process Forward Modeling

Assef Hussein & Xavier Garcia-Teijeiro, Schlumberger

2:25 PM - 2:50 PM
C-CROC: A Multi-process Numerical Model for Carbonate Reservoir Stratigraphy, Diagenesis, and Rock Properties

Miles Frazier, Chevron

2:50 PM - 3:05 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Break 2

Coffee Break & Posters

3:05 PM - 3:30 PM
Integrated Process-Based Geologic Modeling Platform (IPGEM)

Wisam AlKawai, Saudi Aramco

3:30 PM - 3:55 PM
Using Geological Process Models in Rapid Bayesian Inversion

Hugo Bloem, Edinburgh University

3:55 PM - 4:20 PM
Uncertainty and Risk Analysis in Forward Stratigraphic Modeling: Application to Reservoir and Source Rock

Samer Boudaher, Beicip Franlab

4:20 PM - 4:30 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Break 3

Coffee Break & Posters

4:30 PM - 5:30 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Breakout Session 3

Breakout Session

6:00 AM - 7:00 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3

Wednesday 30 March

6:30 AM - 7:30 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Session 5

Session 5: Case Studies and Applications
Session Chairs: Scott Bowman, Petrodynamics & David Tang, Saudi Aramco

8:30 AM - 9:00 AM
Session Keynote: Hybrid Reservoir Models: From Concepts to Applications

Nicolas Hawie, Independent Consultant

9:00 AM - 9:25 AM
The Impact of Sea Level Variations on the Stratigraphic Architecture of Shallow Water T-Factory Carbonate Systems – A Case Study of the Early Cenomanian Natih Formation (Oman)

Frans van Buchem, KAUST

9:25 AM - 9:50 AM
Process-Based Forward Diagenetic Modeling Applications in Carbonate Reservoirs

Peng Lu, Saudi Aramco

9:50 AM - 10:05 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Break 1

Coffee Break & Posters

10:05 AM - 10:30 AM
Forward Stratigraphic Modeling of Mesozoic Marine Organic-Rich Deposits: The Jurassic Najmah Formation – Case Study

Hajar Al Wazzan, Kuwait Oil Company

10:30 AM - 10:55 AM
Environmental Parameters from the Arabian Plate Especially from the Permian and/or Jurassic Formations

Khalid Hmoud, Saudi Aramco

10:55 AM - 12:00 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Breakout Session 1

Breakout Session

12:00 PM - 1:00 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Lunch

Lunch

12:35 PM - 1:35 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Session 6

Session 6: Perspectives and Way Forward
Session Chairs: Cedric John, Imperial College London & Nicolas Hawie, Independent Consultant

1:00 PM - 3:00 PM
Perspectives and Way Forward - Open Discussion
3:00 PM - 3:15 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Workshop Wrap Up

Workshop Wrap Up & Adjournment

Posters Show Details [ + ]Hide Details [ - ]

12:00 AM - 1:00 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Posters

12:10 AM - 1:10 AM
Using Forward Stratigraphic Modeling (FSM) as Training Image in Multiple Point Geostatistics and Other Insights of FSM at Reservoir Scale

Samer Boudaher, Beicip Franlab

12:20 AM - 1:20 AM
Understanding the Distribution of Organic and Inorganic Carbon of the Eagle Ford Group, Maverick Basin TX

Sarah Robinson, Imperial College London

12:30 AM - 1:30 AM
Regional Sequence Stratigraphic Evolution of the Aptian Age Shuaiba Formation Carbonate System Using Forward Modeling Techniques: Implications for Reservoir Development and Play Fairway Identification

James Efstathiou, JEX Geoconsulting Ltd.

12:40 AM - 1:40 AM
TBC

Ali Alali, Saudi Aramco

 

More details to follow soon

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Covid Update

Please be informed that, as per Abu Dhabi Government Guidelines, all workshop attendees must present a negative PCR test taken within 48 hours of the event and must be double vaccinated.

All attendees must also download the UAE’s official COVID-19 app called Alhosn which must show an 'E' or a star to gain entry.

Please ensure to check travel guidelines for entry into Abu Dhabi here.

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Rainer Zühlke Chair Saudi Aramco
Dave Cantrell Committee Member Cantrell GeoLogic LLC
Cedric John Committee Member Imperial College London
Nicolas Hawie Committee Member Independent Consultant
Frans van Buchem Committee Member KAUST
Scott Bowman Committee Member Petrodynamics
David Tang Committee Member Saudi Aramco
Peter Burgess Committee Member University of Liverpool
Daniel Tetzlaff Committee Member Westchase Software Corporation
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