25 May, 2022 Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates

Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling

23-25 May 2022
  |  
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Sponsored By:

Today’s oil and gas industry is increasingly turning toward complex stratigraphic-diagenetic and structural plays. Prediction and risking of reservoir heterogeneity, seal integrity and source rock sweet spots are becoming more important than ever before. Currently, prediction and risking rely primarily on stochastic geostatistical approaches, which have seen an impressive development over the last few decades. However, exploration of and production from increasingly complex plays has revealed higher levels of uncertainty in geostatistical reservoir models, because of a combination of factors:

  • Statistical models do not fully capitalize on the geological information available
  • Prediction and risk assessment usually apply a single statistical approach
  • Different geostatistical approaches produce varying predictive models
  • Surface geological studies (analogues) have proven highly pronounced rock heterogeneity
  • Multiple, concurrent processes with various feedback mechanisms control reservoir quality

In order to meet current and future challenges of increasingly complex prospect and play types, the industry needs to develop new, additional approaches to reservoir, seal and source rock prediction. The key requirement for reducing uncertainty and risk in exploration and production is a rigorous understanding and quantification of geological processes and controls.

Fundamental research in geological process-based forward modeling started in the 1960s to 1970s in academia. However, the exploration industry has only recently started to more widely deploy geological process-based forward modeling. The initial focus has been on depositional modeling using diffusion, Navier-Stokes and hybrid geometric approaches, but more recently a diverse range of approaches is being adopted. They include fuzzy logic, cellular automata and various other reduced-complexity modeling approaches that produce output information on petrofacies, depositional environment, and textural porosity. Forward modelling is also being applied to diagenetic processes using reaction-transport modeling (RTM) or reduced complexity proxy rules and to geomechanical processes using finite element or discrete fracture network modeling based on post-burial mechanical stratigraphy and local/regional stress patterns. Geological process-based forward modeling has shown highly promising results for e.g., reservoir quality, seal integrity and sweet spot prediction in complex play and trap settings but many challenges persist, including:

  • Calibration of numerical input parameters specific to age, climate and structural settings
  • How to use physical experiments and outcrop-reservoir analogue studies for model verification
  • Automated input parameter optimization
  • Multi-scale process-based models from basin to prospect, play and inter-well scale
  • Linking and integrating approaches for depositional, diagenetic and structural modeling
  • Integrating textural, diagenetic and fault/fracture-related poroperm models
  • Sensitivity analysis and quantitative risk assessment of multiple modeling realizations
  • Computational expense vs. complexity of numerical approach vs. temporal-spatial resolution
  • Effective implementation in existing industry workflows.

In recent years, interest in geological process-based forward modeling has extended to the geothermal exploration industry and the CO2 storage industry, which face some comparable challenges in predicting subsurface rock parameters and their spatial distribution.

The proposed workshop will include invited experts and interested researchers from both industry and academia. We will concentrate on geological process-based forward modeling rather than on geostatistical modeling, flow simulation, or hydrocarbon systems modeling. Six sessions spread over a period of 2 1/2 days will be dedicated to key challenges in geological process-based forward modeling, finishing with a concluding session to define a practical way forward.

 

Expand Program [ + ] Collapse Program [ - ]

6:00 AM - 7:00 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 1

Monday 23 May

7:00 AM - 8:30 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 1 Registration

Workshop Registration

8:30 AM - 8:40 PM
Workshop Chair's Welcome and Introduction

8:40 AM - 8:50 AM
Inaugural Keynote

Ashraf Al-Tahini, Saudi Aramco

8:50 AM - 9:20 AM
Technical Keynote - The Evolution of Geologic Process Models

Dan Tetzlaff, Westchase Software Corp.

9:20 AM - 9:50 AM
Technical Keynote - Why Simulate Stratigraphy? Harvesting Geologic Insights from Process and History Integrated Layers

Scott Bowman, PetroDynamics

9:50 AM - 10:05 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Break 1

Coffee Break & Posters

9:55 AM - 10:55 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Session 1

Session 1: Current Applications, Lessons Learned and Challenges
Session Chairs: Rainer Zuhlke, Saudi Aramco & Peter Burgess, University of Liverpool

10:05 AM - 10:35 AM
Session Keynote: 3D Stratigraphic and Diagenetic Forward Modelling: Examples from Jurassic Carbonates, Central Saudi Arabia

Didier Granjeon, IFPEN

10:35 AM - 11:00 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling: Towards the Possibility of Meeting the Standard Requirements of Reservoir Modeling

Gérard Massonnat, TotalEnergies

11:00 AM - 11:25 AM
GPBFM for the 21st Century, Climate Change, New Energy Applications, and Education

Cedric Griffiths, Stratamod

11:25 AM - 11:40 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Break 2

Coffee Break & Posters

11:40 AM - 12:15 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Poster Presentation

Poster Presentation Summary Session

12:15 PM - 1:15 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Breakout Session 1

Breakout Session

1:15 PM - 2:15 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Lunch

Lunch

1:30 PM - 2:30 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Session 2

Session 2: Multi-Scale Calibration of Geological Processes
Session Chairs: Nicolas Hawie, Independent Consultant & Frans van Buchem, KAUST

2:15 PM - 2:45 PM
Session Keynote: The Role of Hydrodynamics for Shaping Carbonate Depositional Systems and Sediment Distribution – Observations from Recent and Ancient, Shallow and Deep Basinal Settings

Volker Vahrenkamp, KAUST

2:45 PM - 3:10 PM
Calibration of Input Parameters for Geological Process-Based Modelling – Depositional Units, Sediment Input and Paleobathymetry

Nikolaos Michael, Saudi Aramco

3:10 PM - 3:25 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Break 3

Coffee Break & Posters

3:25 PM - 3:50 PM
Use of an Integrated Earth Model for the Rapid Determination of Boundary Conditions

Andrew Davies, Halliburton

3:50 PM - 4:15 PM
Trust, But Verify: Parameter Calibration and Validation of Deep-Water Sand Delivery Processes in a Numerical Model

Ashley Harris, Chevron

4:15 PM - 4:45 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling - Day 1 Poster Presenations 2

Poster Presentation Summary Session

4:45 PM - 5:45 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 1 Breakout Session 2

Breakout Session

6:30 AM - 7:30 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2

Tuesday 24 May

7:00 AM - 8:00 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Session 3

Session 3: Modeling Approaches and Applications
Session Chairs: Cédric M. John, Imperial College London & Frans van Buchem, KAUST

9:00 AM - 9:30 AM
Session Keynote: An Overview of Numerical Stratigraphic Forward Modelling Approaches and Applications

Peter Burgess, University of Liverpool

9:30 AM - 9:55 AM
Digital Geology Physics Based Simulation for the Next Generation G&G Integration

Sergio Courtade, Schlumberger

9:55 AM - 10:10 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Break 1

Coffee Break & Posters

10:10 AM - 10:35 AM
Integration of Forward Stratigraphic Modeling in Reservoir Geomodels: Approach and Benefits

Samer Bou Daher, Beicip Franlab

10:35 AM - 11:00 AM
Optimization of Geological Process Based Forward Models

Andreas Miller, OMV Austria

11:00 AM - 12:00 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Breakout Session 1

Breakout Session

12:00 PM - 1:00 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Lunch

Lunch

12:05 PM - 1:05 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Session 4

Session 4: Integration of Multiple Geological Processes and Approaches
Session Chairs: Rainer Zuhlke, Saudi Aramco & Daniel Tetzlaff, Westchase Software Corporation

1:00 PM - 1:30 PM
Session Keynote: Integration of Deep Learning into Forward Geological Modeling: A Glimpse Over the Horizon

Cédric M. John & Rossella Arcucci, Imperial College London

1:30 PM - 1:55 PM
Integration of Geomechanics with Geological Process Forward Modeling

Assef Hussein, Schlumberger

1:55 PM - 2:20 PM
C-CROC: A Multi-process Numerical Model for Carbonate Reservoir Stratigraphy, Diagenesis, and Rock Properties

Sarah Baumgardner, Chevron

2:35 PM - 3:00 PM
Integrated Process-Based Geologic Modeling Platform (IPGEM)

Wisam AlKawai, Saudi Aramco

2:40 PM - 3:40 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Break 2

Coffee Break & Posters

3:00 PM - 3:25 PM
Using Geological Process Models in Rapid Bayesian Inversion

Hugo Bloem, Edinburgh University

3:25 PM - 3:50 PM
Uncertainty and Risk Analysis in Forward Stratigraphic Modeling: Application to Reservoir and Source Rock

Samer Bou Daher, Beicip Franlab

3:50 PM - 4:50 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 2 Breakout Session 3

Breakout Session

6:00 AM - 7:00 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3

Wednesday 25 May

6:30 AM - 7:30 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Session 5

Session 5: Case Studies and Applications
Session Chairs: David Tang, Saudi Aramco & Peter Burgess, University of Liverpool

9:00 AM - 9:30 AM
Session Keynote: Hybrid Reservoir Models: From Concepts to Applications

Nicolas Hawie, Independent Consultant

9:30 AM - 9:55 AM
The Impact of Sea Level Variations on the Stratigraphic Architecture of Shallow Water T-Factory Carbonate Systems – A Case Study of the Early Cenomanian Natih Formation (Oman)

Frans van Buchem, KAUST

9:55 AM - 10:20 AM
Process-Based Forward Diagenetic Modeling Applications in Carbonate Reservoirs

Peng Lu, Saudi Aramco

10:20 AM - 10:35 AM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Break 1

Coffee Break & Posters

10:35 AM - 11:00 AM
Forward Stratigraphic Modeling of Mesozoic Marine Organic-Rich Deposits: The Jurassic Najmah Formation – Case Study

Hajar Al Wazzan, Kuwait Oil Company

11:00 AM - 11:25 AM
Carbonate Texture and Paleobathymetry Revealed from Stratigraphic Forward Modelling: A Case Study of Jurassic Carbonate and Evaporite Platform, Arabian Plate

Khalid Hmoud, Saudi Aramco

11:25 AM - 12:25 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Breakout Session 1

Breakout Session

12:25 PM - 1:30 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Lunch

Lunch

12:35 PM - 1:35 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Day 3 Session 6

Session 6: Perspectives and Way Forward
Session Chairs: Cédric M. John, Imperial College London & Nicolas Hawie, Independent Consultant

1:30 PM - 3:30 PM
Perspectives and Way Forward - Open Discussion
3:30 PM - 3:45 PM
Geological Process-Based Forward Modeling Workshop Wrap Up

Workshop Wrap Up & Adjournment

Posters Show Details [ + ]Hide Details [ - ]

12:03 AM - 1:03 AM
Thermochemical Sulfate Reduction Model for H2S Concentration Prediction in Carbonate Gas Reservoirs

Wei Wei, Beijing Research Center, Aramco Asia

12:06 AM - 1:06 AM
Numerical Modeling of Submarine Turbidity Currents on Linked Minibasins

Xiaoxi Wang, Beijing Research Center, Aramco Asia

12:10 AM - 1:10 AM
Using Forward Stratigraphic Modeling (FSM) as Training Image in Multiple Point Geostatistics and Other Insights of FSM at Reservoir Scale

Samer Bou Daher, Beicip Franlab

12:15 AM - 1:15 AM
Regional Sequence Stratigraphic Evolution of the Aptian Age Shuaiba Formation Carbonate System Using Forward Modeling Techniques: Implications for Reservoir Development and Play Fairway Identification

Samer Bou Daher, Beicip Franlab

12:20 AM - 1:20 AM
Understanding the Distribution of Organic and Inorganic Carbon of the Eagle Ford Group, Maverick Basin TX

Sarah Robinson, Imperial College London

12:25 AM - 1:25 AM
Deciphering the Controlling Factors on the Evolution of Mid-Oceanic Atolls: New Insight from the Early Cretaceous Resolution Guyot (Mid-Pacific Mountain)

Mahmoud El-Yamani, Imperial College London

12:30 AM - 1:30 AM
Stratigraphic Forward Modeling of the Late Jurassic Tectono-Eustatic Impacts on the Cyclic Arab/Hith Deposit

Ghada Almohannadi, North Oil Company, Qatar

12:40 AM - 1:40 AM
TBC

Lama Abualsaud, Saudi Aramco

12:45 AM - 1:45 AM
TBC

Yaser Zayer, Saudi Aramco

12:50 AM - 1:50 AM
Integration of Geological Process Modeling (GPM) for Achieving Realistic History Matching Scenarios for an Eocene Carbonate Field in the Middle Indus Basin

Sergio Courtade, Schlumberger

12:55 AM - 1:55 AM
From Depositional Forward Model to Current Reservoir Forward Simulation: Taking into Account the Whole History

Charles Danquigny, TotalEnergies

1:00 AM - 2:00 AM
Contribution of Outcrop Analogues to the Design, Calibration And Verification of Geological Process-Based Forward Models. The Example of the Albion Dynamic Analogue

Charles Danquigny, TotalEnergies

1:05 AM - 2:05 AM
Sensitivity Analysis of Stratigraphic Forward Models to the Initial Seafloor Topography

Charles Danquigny, TotalEnergies

1:10 AM - 2:10 AM
Simulating Sedimentary Reservoir Heterogeneity in Carbonates with Process-Based Forward Modeling

Gérard Massonnat, TotalEnergies

1:15 AM - 2:15 AM
Stratigraphic Forward Modeling of the Lower Cretaceous Arabian Platform: Kharaib and Shu’aiba Formations

Gérard Massonnat, TotalEnergies

2:00 AM - 3:00 AM
Using Stratigraphic Forward Modeling to Investigate Controls on Incision in the Taquari Distributive Fluvial System, Pantanal, Brazil

Swiad Snieder, University of Aberdeen


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Rainer Zühlke Chair Saudi Aramco, Saudi Arabia
Dave Cantrell Committee Member Cantrell GeoLogic LLC, USA
Cédric M. John Committee Member Imperial College London, United Kingdom
Nicolas Hawie Committee Member Independent Consultant, France
Frans van Buchem Committee Member KAUST, Saudi Arabia
Scott Bowman Committee Member Petrodynamics, USA
David Tang Committee Member Saudi Aramco, Saudi Arabia
Peter Burgess Committee Member University of Liverpool, United Kingdon
Daniel Tetzlaff Committee Member Westchase Software Corporation, USA
Marketing & Events Officer, Middle East
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