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sounds improbable today, but early (1970s) concern about the impact
of human activity on the global climate system centered on the prospect
of global cooling caused by man-made particles, or aerosols, reflecting
away incoming solar radiation.
Attention soon shifted to the possibility of global
warming via the ability of so-called "greenhouse" gases, principally
carbon dioxide, water vapor and methane, to absorb the infrared
radiation the earth transmits to space in order to balance the incoming
radiation from the sun.
The issue of global warming soon took on a life of
its own.
Over the years, the controversial matter has evolved
from one focused primarily on scientific concerns to one currently
focused on the selection of mitigation and carbon removal options.
Indeed, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) -- the international voice on the science
of global warming -- has shifted its emphasis toward the assessment
of potential damages from warming and to selection of appropriate
policies and technologies to reduce or capture emissions.
Numerous technology options exist to reduce greenhouse
gas emissions and to capture and dispose of carbon from the atmosphere
and from emission sources. Factors to be considered when selecting
mitigation and disposal options include the availability of the
particular option, the volume of emissions that can be reduced or
offset, the cost and other technical, social and political factors.
"Energy efficiency and expanded use of natural gas
appear to hold considerable promise as nearer-term solutions," said
John Shinn, project technical manager global change at Chevron Research
& Technology Co. "Disposal of CO2 in underground
formations appears promising as a medium-term option.
"Besides adopting technology options within specific
businesses, the international process offers other promising response
options that expand the possible choices to reduce emissions, such
as trading and international project activities."
Wanted: Proven Technologies
Given the international demand to reduce the growth
of greenhouse gases, the oil and gas industry is diligently assessing
how best to approach this potentially costly and complex issue.
The International Petroleum Industry Environmental
Conservation Association (IPIECA) held a workshop in 1999, where
experts from technology assessment and technology development groups
met to examine both the process and outputs of mitigation technology
assessment programs already conducted.
They concluded no one technology appears capable
to provide the entire solution for reducing greenhouse gas emissions,
but rather the evolution of multiple technologies over time is the
way to go.
General guidelines were developed for effective assessment
of technology options. These include:
- How soon the option will be available.
- The impact from a given technology.
- Cost.
- Certainty.
- Political and social acceptability.
Existing short- to medium-term greenhouse gas mitigation
options can be grouped in a few general categories:
- Energy efficiency.
- Reduced venting and flaring.
- Remote natural gas utilization: e.g. LNG, GTL (gas-to-liquids).
- Fuel switching.
- Methane Capture.
- Land use change: e.g. reforestation, soil management for carbon
uptake/reduced carbon release.
Abatement options available today that are applicable
worldwide can be as simple as pipeline repair or the controlled
ignition of large methane sources.
"The availability of existing proven technologies
appears to be a key issue in the choice of options in the near-term,"
Shinn said. "The challenge is to provide the added incentive for
these activities to permit them to compete effectively for investment
money, and the value of carbon credits could provide such an incentive."
Three Broad Options
Shinn noted there are three broad options for mid-
to longer-term gas mitigation.
However, two of these options -- energy production
from non-carbon sources (renewables) and the use of non-hydrocarbon
fuels (e.g.hydrogen) -- call for profound change in the global energy
system. Implementation could take decades.
The other option is sequestration, or the removal
of CO2 from combustion products or from the atmosphere.
Shinn ticked off several advantages of sequestration as a medium-
to long-term carbon management approach:
- Allows continued use of a valuable, low-cost hydrocarbon resource.
- Political and commercial value to producer nations and carbon
businesses.
- Allows time for renewables cost reductions and breakthroughs.
- Potential co-location of disposal and production sites.
Beyond the technical options, the international process
is creating additional response flexibility.
The Kyoto Protocol, if adopted, would allow governments
and businesses options to participate in emissions-reducing activity
beyond the confines of their national or business activity.
Even if the Protocol is not ultimately adopted, as
suggested by the recent Bush administration positioning, it is expected
that many of these flexible options developed in the Protocol framework
could be retained in some form in future measures.
Clean Development Mechanism
The Kyoto approaches involve two activity categories
-- trading and projects.
The Emissions Trading category allows governments
or businesses to purchase excess emissions reductions from those
who are able to reduce emissions below their Kyoto objectives. This
provides incentives for those entities having low-cost emissions
reduction opportunities to reduce below their targets.
The "projects" approach involves participation in
emission-reducing activities outside one's own borders in order
to receive part of the value of the reduction toward one's own reduction
obligations.
There are two types of project activity:
- Projects in countries having commitments to reduce (Joint Implementation).
- Projects in developing countries with no Kyoto Protocol reduction
commitments (Clean Development Mechanism, or CDM).
Chevron and partners are in the advanced planning
stage of a project that may qualify for CDM, known as the West African
Gas Pipeline project. The project would utilize otherwise wasted
natural gas to provide cleaner energy for development in Western
Africa.
Natural gas is flared in the oil-producing regions
of Nigeria, and the Chevron program would capture and transport
the now-wasted gas to Ghana, Togo and Benin, where it would replace
higher emission fuels used in power generation.
Other benefits expected to accrue include improved
air quality and health, a more rapid development of electricity
and, eventually, increased use of natural gas for home heating and
cooking.
"We believe this is the kind of project that should
qualify for greenhouse gas credits," Shinn said. "The added value
of the credits could help ensure that more projects of this type
are selected, allowing companies to play a more active role in reducing
greenhouse gas emissions."
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